Where house price and pay pulled apart

Every local authority ranked by the gap between its house price change and its pay change over each series’ own latest published year. Both changes are shown for every area, with the periods on hover; the gap is one minus the other, in percentage points of change. Areas missing a year-earlier value on either side are left out, never treated as zero.

A gap is not an explanation. Two series can pull apart for reasons neither one records — a different mix of homes sold, a survey’s sampling, a boundary quirk. This page says where they diverged, not why.

Largest gaps: average house price outpacing median full-time pay

Areahouse price changepay changeGap
Na h-Eileanan Siar+12.6%−16.5%+29.1 points
Malvern Hills+8%−12.1%+20.2 points
Surrey Heath+6.1%−9.2%+15.4 points
Mole Valley+0.7%−11%+11.7 points
Calderdale+9.4%−1.9%+11.3 points
Moray+9.4%−1.8%+11.1 points
South Ayrshire+9.9%−0.8%+10.7 points
Preston+12.4%+1.8%+10.6 points
Blaenau Gwent+8.9%−1%+9.9 points
Babergh+1.9%−7.9%+9.7 points
South Holland+7.6%−2%+9.6 points
Isle of Anglesey+6.7%−2.6%+9.4 points
Isle of Wight+1.1%−8%+9.2 points
Scottish Borders+4.6%−4.3%+9 points
Arun+3.1%−5.7%+8.8 points
East Ayrshire+10.1%+1.4%+8.7 points
Westmorland and Furness+11.1%+2.9%+8.2 points
North Lincolnshire+7.8%−0.3%+8.1 points
East Lindsey+7.4%−0.7%+8.1 points
Northumberland+12.6%+4.8%+7.8 points

The other end: median full-time pay outpacing average house price

Areahouse price changepay changeGap
Westminster−25.4%+3.1%−28.5 points
Camden−7.1%+19.1%−26.2 points
Tower Hamlets−13.1%+11.7%−24.8 points
Oadby and Wigston−1.7%+20.7%−22.4 points
Wealden−0.7%+19%−19.8 points
Rugby+0.2%+19.6%−19.5 points
Maldon+0.4%+18.3%−17.9 points
Chelmsford−1.2%+16%−17.2 points
Wokingham−3.1%+13.4%−16.5 points
Torfaen+1.6%+17.5%−15.9 points
West Devon−0.7%+14.7%−15.5 points
Kensington and Chelsea−14.7%+0.2%−14.9 points
Argyll and Bute−3.7%+11.1%−14.8 points
Rushcliffe+1.6%+15.9%−14.3 points
South Hams−6.8%+7.3%−14.1 points
Spelthorne−4.7%+9.4%−14.1 points
Pembrokeshire−4.2%+9.3%−13.5 points
Wandsworth−5.2%+8.3%−13.5 points
Lewes+1.7%+15%−13.3 points
Shetland Islands−6%+6.6%−12.6 points

348 local authorities have a published value and a value from a year earlier in both series. Each change is Civometry arithmetic on two published figures; the levels come from the series’ own publishers. Changes are nominal — inflation affects both sides of a money pair, but not necessarily equally. ASHE pay figures for small areas carry wide confidence intervals: a double-digit one-year swing in one authority’s median pay is often sampling, not economics, so read extreme rows as candidates to check, not conclusions.

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