Employment forecasts: record highs and lows

The extremes of employment forecasts as published by OBR, across the 16 periods held here (2009 to 2024). Each record is a published figure, not a computed one, and the scope is this series — not “ever”.

The latest figure, 33,615,500 in 2024, is the highest in the whole published series of 16 periods. The rule: a period counts as beaten only when its figure is strictly below the latest, and the claim is only made when it reaches back at least five years.

Highest published

33,615,5002024

Lowest published

29,156,0002009

The full series

Employment forecasts: 2009 to 2024LabourCoalitionCoalitionConservativeConservativeConservativeConservativeConservativeLabour010m20m30m2010201520202009: 29,156,000 people · published 26 March 20262010: 29,228,500 people · published 26 March 20262011: 29,381,000 people · published 26 March 20262012: 29,723,000 people · published 26 March 20262013: 30,096,750 people · published 26 March 20262014: 30,818,250 people · published 26 March 20262015: 31,345,750 people · published 26 March 20262016: 31,810,250 people · published 26 March 20262017: 32,127,750 people · published 26 March 20262018: 32,506,750 people · published 26 March 20262019: 32,923,000 people · published 26 March 20262020: 32,558,750 people · published 26 March 20262021: 32,555,000 people · published 26 March 20262022: 32,957,250 people · published 26 March 20262023: 33,351,000 people · published 26 March 20262024: 33,615,500 people · published 26 March 2026

Published valueProvisional or revisedLatestShaded bands: governments (see labels)Hover or use arrow keys to read a value

What a record here is, and is not

A record is the extreme of the periods this site holds for the current series, at each period’s newest published release. Earlier series measured under different methods are not compared against it. Money is in cash terms: a record set years ago stands against the money of its own year.