Home Office · Immigration system statistics: small boat arrivals, asylum claims and NRM referrals datasets · 4 values
Modern slavery referral outcomes for small boat arrivals by nrm case outcome group
The outcomes of National Referral Mechanism referrals for modern slavery raised for people who arrived by small boat, split by outcome group — reasonable grounds decision, conclusive grounds decision, withdrawn or closed, or awaiting a decision — counted in the quarter the person arrived.
latest 12 months to 2025 Q4; 4 quarters summed · total 12,262 referrals · published 27 August 2026
Reasonable grounds decision is the largest nrm case outcome group at 64% of the total.
| NRM Case Outcome Group | Latest 12 months | Share | Previous 12 months | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reasonable grounds decision | 7,828 | 63.8% | 5,210 | ▲ 50.2% |
| Conclusive grounds decision | 3,724 | 30.4% | 1,990 | ▲ 87.1% |
| Awaiting a decision | 580 | 4.7% | 210 | ▲ 176.2% |
| Withdrawn/Closed | 130 | 1.1% | 126 | ▲ 3.2% |
Source
- Dataset
- Immigration system statistics: small boat arrivals, asylum claims and NRM referrals datasets · sheet Data_IER_D05
- Rows
- all rows; values are the sum of the published rows for each nrm case outcome group and period.
- Caveat
- Whether a reasonable or conclusive grounds decision was positive or negative, or outcomes for referrals unconnected to small boat arrivals.
- Parent metric
- Modern slavery referral outcomes for small boat arrivals
- API
- /api/metrics/small_boat_nrm_referrals_by_outcome/vintages