Civometry

Home Office · nrm case outcome group: Reasonable grounds decision

Modern slavery referral outcomes for small boat arrivals: Reasonable grounds decision

4 periods to 2025 Q4

7,828 referrals

Modern slavery referral outcomes for small boat arrivals for Reasonable grounds decision totalled 7,828 referrals in the 4 periods to 2025 Q4, up 50.2% (2,618) on the 4 periods before.

  1. Home Office dataset
  2. Data_IER_D05
  3. all rows; NRM Case Outcome Group=Reasonable grounds decision
  4. column “Referrals”
  5. sum of 178 rows per period
  6. published 27 August 2026

2018 Q3 to 2025 Q4

Modern slavery referral outcomes for small boat arrivals by outcome: 2018 Q3 to 2025 Q4ConservativeConservativeConservativeConservativeLabourLabour01k2k20182020202220242018 Q3: 4 referrals · published 27 August 20262018 Q4: 6 referrals · published 27 August 20262019 Q1: 9 referrals · published 27 August 20262019 Q2: 30 referrals · published 27 August 20262019 Q3: 80 referrals · published 27 August 20262019 Q4: 38 referrals · published 27 August 20262020 Q1: 24 referrals · published 27 August 20262020 Q2: 227 referrals · published 27 August 20262020 Q3: 679 referrals · published 27 August 20262020 Q4: 185 referrals · published 27 August 20262021 Q1: 165 referrals · published 27 August 20262021 Q2: 707 referrals · published 27 August 20262021 Q3: 1,012 referrals · published 27 August 20262021 Q4: 742 referrals · published 27 August 20262022 Q1: 464 referrals · published 27 August 20262022 Q2: 1,386 referrals · published 27 August 20262022 Q3: 2,684 referrals · published 27 August 20262022 Q4: 895 referrals · published 27 August 20262023 Q1: 306 referrals · published 27 August 20262023 Q2: 819 referrals · published 27 August 20262023 Q3: 1,557 referrals · published 27 August 20262023 Q4: 454 referrals · published 27 August 20262024 Q1: 865 referrals · published 27 August 20262024 Q2: 1,204 referrals · published 27 August 20262024 Q3: 1,458 referrals · published 27 August 20262024 Q4: 1,683 referrals · published 27 August 20262025 Q1: 1,209 referrals · published 27 August 20262025 Q2: 2,366 referrals · published 27 August 20262025 Q3: 2,681 referrals · published 27 August 20262025 Q4: 1,572 referrals · published 27 August 2026
Published valueProvisional or revisedLatestShaded bands: governments (see labels)Hover, tap or use arrow keys to read a value; tap again to unpin
The chart as a table
PeriodModern slavery referral outcomes for small boat arrivals by outcome
2018 Q34 referrals
2018 Q46 referrals
2019 Q19 referrals
2019 Q230 referrals
2019 Q380 referrals
2019 Q438 referrals
2020 Q124 referrals
2020 Q2227 referrals
2020 Q3679 referrals
2020 Q4185 referrals
2021 Q1165 referrals
2021 Q2707 referrals
2021 Q31,012 referrals
2021 Q4742 referrals
2022 Q1464 referrals
2022 Q21,386 referrals
2022 Q32,684 referrals
2022 Q4895 referrals
2023 Q1306 referrals
2023 Q2819 referrals
2023 Q31,557 referrals
2023 Q4454 referrals
2024 Q1865 referrals
2024 Q21,204 referrals
2024 Q31,458 referrals
2024 Q41,683 referrals
2025 Q11,209 referrals
2025 Q22,366 referrals
2025 Q32,681 referrals
2025 Q41,572 referrals

What this measures

The outcomes of National Referral Mechanism referrals for modern slavery raised for people who arrived by small boat, split by outcome group — reasonable grounds decision, conclusive grounds decision, withdrawn or closed, or awaiting a decision — counted in the quarter the person arrived.

Whether a reasonable or conclusive grounds decision was positive or negative, or outcomes for referrals unconnected to small boat arrivals.

Source

Dataset
Immigration system statistics: small boat arrivals, asylum claims and NRM referrals datasets
Release
Year ending June 2026, published 27 August 2026 · sha256 72071ed0ce3777a2…
All values
Modern slavery referral outcomes for small boat arrivals by nrm case outcome group