OBR · Historical official forecasts database
Historical official forecasts database: Historical official forecasts database, March 2026
Published 26 March 2026 · ingested 3 September 2026
5,796observations
17 metrics updated: 422 periods published for the first time here and 0 periods revised against the previous release.
- obr-historical-forecasts-2026-03.xlsx
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Metrics updated
| Metric | Latest | New periods | Revised periods |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation forecasts2025 | 3.4% | 17 | 0 |
| Debt interest forecastsYear ending March 2025 | £85.4bn | 15 | 0 |
| Earnings growth forecasts2024 | 5.1% | 16 | 0 |
| Employment forecasts2024 | 33,615,500 | 16 | 0 |
| GDP growth forecasts2024 | 1.1% | 43 | 0 |
| House price forecasts2024 | 0.7% | 16 | 0 |
| Income tax forecastsYear ending March 2025 | £305.9bn | 17 | 0 |
| National Insurance forecastsYear ending March 2025 | £171.4bn | 17 | 0 |
| Borrowing forecasts, £ billionYear ending March 2025 | £152.7bn | 55 | 0 |
| Borrowing forecasts, per cent of GDPYear ending March 2025 | 5.2% | 49 | 0 |
| Debt forecasts, per cent of GDPYear ending March 2025 | 93.2% | 25 | 0 |
| Receipts forecasts, £ billionYear ending March 2025 | £1.14tn | 36 | 0 |
| Household income forecasts2024 | 4.1% | 16 | 0 |
| Spending forecasts, £ billionYear ending March 2025 | £1.29tn | 36 | 0 |
| Unemployment forecasts2024 | 4.3% | 16 | 0 |
| VAT forecastsYear ending March 2025 | £173.3bn | 17 | 0 |
| Welfare spending forecastsYear ending March 2025 | £314.8bn | 15 | 0 |
Source
- Publisher
- OBR
- Publication page
- https://obr.uk/data/
- File
- obr-historical-forecasts-2026-03.xlsx
- SHA-256
- e00b17cb7ec8dfddc4bfd4d212c1e93362147fff81d74a10480e599b26e634db
- Snapshot
- data/obr/obr-historical-forecasts/2026-03-26/observations.json